Serie A · Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 21:45 · Europe/Sofia

Roma vs Sassuolo

Roma Home
Sassuolo Away
1 · Home 1.39
X · Draw 6.20
2 · Away 8.50
Home 72%Draw 16%Away 12%

Market-implied probabilities, normalized to 100%. Not our forecast.

Our verdict

Roma to win @ 1.38

Saturday night at the Olimpico. Roma have won 5-2 at Udinese and 2-0 at home to Genoa in their last two league games and sit at the top end of the table. Sassuolo lost 4-2 at Frosinone a fortnight ago and have conceded freely on the road all season. The market has Roma at 72 percent, a 1.39 price, and the home win is the pick.

Preview and price check: 2 November 2026, five days before kickoff. Kickoff is Saturday 7 November at 20:45 in Rome, 19:45 UTC, or 21:45 in Sofia. Prices are derived from the market probabilities in the live schedule feed on 2 November.

The case for the tip

Roma’s attack has woken up: seven goals in two league games, four at home to Real Madrid in a 4-3 defeat that said more about the forwards than the defence. Sassuolo travel badly and concede in bunches; four at Frosinone, and the pattern this season is that a decent side at home puts them away. Roma play Tuesday at Old Trafford, so there will be rotation, but the depth of this squad is the reason they are where they are, and a Saturday night home game against Sassuolo is the fixture rotation is designed for.

The trap to avoid

Over 2.5 goals. Roma’s recent games have been high scoring, but Sassuolo’s answer to a strong home side is often to sit in and lose 1-0 or 2-0, and Roma, two days after a European game, may not chase the third. Back the result, not the goal count. The other trap is the European hangover argument; Roma’s league form through this European run has been their best of the season.

Verdict

Roma to win at 1.38, derived on 2 November. A 72 percent break-even against an opponent that concedes on the road. Inspect the price and recheck it on Saturday when the elevens are confirmed.

The board records 1X2 prices of 1.39, 6.20 and 8.50 derived from the live market probabilities on 2 November. The headline is the Roma price from that board. Neither this board nor the preview is a live odds service.

Our last Serie A verdict was Inter-Fiorentina, Inter to win, won in injury time. The track record has every one.

18+. Odds are indicative and move — confirm the price before betting. Bet responsibly.